Tuesday marks one week until Election Day 2022 when about a third of the Senate, all 435-members of the House of Representatives, and governors’ offices in 36 of the 50 states are up for grabs. Democrats are facing historical headwinds — the party that wins the White House traditionally suffers major setbacks in the ensuing midterm elections — and a very rough political climate fueled by record inflation, soaring crime and a border crisis, and these are accentuated by President Joe Biden’s rebounding but still underwater approval ratings.
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New Hampshire politicos say they aren’t surprised. “All indications point to an election outcome consistent with past midterms – the party out of power will gain seats, ” said New England College political science professor Wayne Lesperance. “The First Congressional District is shaping up to follow that pattern. Inflation and broader concerns about the economy continue to fill GOP sails. ” Concord Monitor; October 8, 2022 Excerpt taken from the Concord Monitor; October 8, 2022; by Paul Steinhauser “Don Bolduc works to unify GOP voters in Senate race” “GOP voters are motivated to win.
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He said that President Barack Obama, for example, held huge events in the Granite State, a move away from the local, retail politics the New Hampshire primary has been known for. “We saw national debates taking folks away from New Hampshire, ” he said. “It’s the nationalization of the primary process, where we’re talking about national issues, not so much about issues that are important to Granite Staters or local voters. ” Lesperance said Granite Staters aren’t seeing as many events like house parties or visits to the Red Arrow Diner. “There’s less of those things happening and more emphasis on big national events that are more choreographed that attendees are invited to instead of being open to the public, ” he said. “So, there has been a slide in the size of the primary in a direction that is really inconsistent with its origins that should have concerned us all along.
They have heard repeatedly that the Senate is in play and a win in New Hampshire improves their chances to control that body. So, it’s not surprising that differences among members of the party are set aside for that common goal of defeating Sen. Hassan, ” veteran New Hampshire based political scientist Wayne Lesperance said. Lesperance, the interim president of Henniker-based New England College, noted that “at the end of the day, whatever their differences may be, they share the desire to turn that Senate seat red. ” With polls indicating the Senate race in New Hampshire remains close – Hassan was ahead of Bolduc by six points according to Saint Anselm College Survey Center – the bigger question remains whether Bolduc can win the crucial votes of Granite State independents. Pointing to his past stance on abortion, his previous comments in support of former President Donald Trump’s unproven claims the 2020 election was “rigged” and “stolen” and his views on COVID vaccines and on making changes to Medicare and Social Security, the Hassan campaign and the New Hampshire Democratic Party argue that Bolduc is too extreme for mainstream Granite Staters.
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